Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.068354 0.075719 0.083793 0.093343 0.104387 0.116824 0.131986
2024-10-13 0.055638 0.065233 0.076589 0.091188 0.109706 0.132754 0.164171
2024-10-20 0.048373 0.059275 0.072985 0.091859 0.117764 0.153020 0.206390
2024-10-27 0.042646 0.054079 0.069161 0.091106 0.123287 0.170622 0.249479
2024-11-03 0.038936 0.050849 0.067231 0.092276 0.131298 0.193089 0.306283
2024-11-10 0.035968 0.048165 0.065550 0.093308 0.138996 0.216492 0.372208
2024-11-17 0.033176 0.045358 0.063249 0.092894 0.144072 0.236405 0.438675
2024-11-24 0.031183 0.043474 0.062045 0.093933 0.151637 0.262451 0.528354
2024-12-01 0.029483 0.041837 0.060992 0.094991 0.159310 0.290560 0.635936
2024-12-08 0.027950 0.040297 0.059896 0.095760 0.166497 0.319531 0.761304
2024-12-15 0.026437 0.038647 0.058431 0.095626 0.171804 0.345771 0.894896
2024-12-22 0.024902 0.036832 0.056503 0.094356 0.174478 0.366521 1.025164
2024-12-29 0.024004 0.036014 0.056247 0.096323 0.184748 0.410373 1.275987
2025-01-05 0.022622 0.034287 0.054240 0.094592 0.186379 0.431833 1.460073
2025-01-12 0.021750 0.033360 0.053584 0.095514 0.194483 0.475037 1.792662
2025-01-19 0.020736 0.032116 0.052233 0.094812 0.198480 0.507463 2.116288
2025-01-26 0.020060 0.031415 0.051831 0.096083 0.207816 0.561503 2.659704
2025-02-02 0.019417 0.030724 0.051382 0.097189 0.216994 0.619618 3.360433
2025-02-09 0.018647 0.029755 0.050314 0.096759 0.221845 0.664233 4.074296
2025-02-16 0.018101 0.029158 0.049928 0.097859 0.231414 0.733285 5.259890
2025-02-23 0.017592 0.028599 0.049568 0.098976 0.241355 0.810380 6.902109
2025-03-02 0.017087 0.028013 0.049107 0.099789 0.250604 0.890854 9.107357
2025-03-09 0.016525 0.027287 0.048302 0.099647 0.256776 0.960827 11.723681